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    Automotive · Case

    How to Increase Business Efficiency with Econometric Modelling

    Estimating the impact of advertising investment on sales for one of the largest brands in the automotive industry.

    The challenge

    Challenge. Estimate the impact of advertising investment on sales for one of the largest brands in the automotive industry.

    Strategy. Consider traffic to the dealership as demand. Analyze the behavior of that traffic and its response to marketing, and the path to conversion from demand to sales.

    Approach. Estimate the effect of marketing activity on in-store traffic through marketing mix modelling, and estimate the effect of in-store traffic on final sales.

    Outcomes

    3 out of 10 people who visit car dealers are driven by marketing efforts, which enables a 30% conversion of those who end up buying a car.

    Purchasing power accounts for 12% of the growing demand (the relationship between the macroeconomic situation and the product price).

    • Marketing efforts represent 32% of incremental automotive demand.
    • Rising prices have a negative impact on sales, which marketing efforts should offset.
    Chart 1
    Business attribution
    Contribution of each factor to demand (index)
    Base
    +2.04
    Macro trends
    +2.91
    Price
    −2.47
    Media
    +1.16
    Hover or tap a bar to see the detail.
    Source: naawa, 2020.
    View data
    Index
    Base+2.04
    Macro trends+2.91
    Price−2.47
    Media+1.16

    Digital marketing efforts are the most important to increase car demand, along with paid TV.

    Chart 2
    Marketing attribution
    Contribution of each medium to demand (index)
    Paid search
    2.0
    Paid TV
    1.2
    Organic visits
    1.2
    Radio
    1.0
    Others
    0.2
    Hover or tap a bar to see the detail.
    Source: naawa, 2020.
    View data
    Attribution
    Paid search2.0
    Paid TV1.2
    Organic visits1.2
    Radio1.0
    Others0.2
    • Search and site visits are key touchpoints in the buying process to increase demand.
    • SEO, SEM, display and video play a very important role in increasing search and site visits as demand generators.

    Actions

    Leverage digital investment. A deep understanding of the consumer cycle makes it possible to optimize every touchpoint across the purchase journey.

    1. 01
      Media
      Online and offline media (TV, press and magazines).
    2. 02
      Web search
      The online search that media generate.
    3. 03
      Site visit
      The brand’s website.
    4. 04
      Dealership traffic and leads
      Store visits and potential customers.
    5. 05
      Final sales
      Along with the financial process, interest rates and the sales force; all on top of the base and the macroeconomic context.
    • Increase organic search and visits through offline investment (synergies).
    • Reach potential consumers through online investment and site visits (synergies).
    • Optimize the site to turn visits into dealership traffic (conversion).
    • The change in the media mix, which increased online investment by 22% in the new marketing strategy, resulted in 34% more dealership traffic.
    Business performancePredictiveROI

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